I am an Alexander Elder’s fan and student, not just because I am a refugee too (my mom is Ukrainian), but because he essentially figured it all out back in the hecking 1993, before trading even became mainstream, and his system withstood the test of more than 25 years and completely, totally different, fully automated markets. I am also a big fan of the Jane Street “cool story”, at least the part that they shill to the public and which I understand quite well – a man studied at a very good school (Cornell), with the right tradition (ML-family) under the best teachers (Clarkson and Co.), got a PhD (which means got the Right Understanding and proper Indoctrination) and then used the Ocaml language (designed and implemented by correctness-obsessed serious theoreticians and academics) for semi-automation of error-prone tasks, with not just significant, but very large (potentially destructive) costs of errors. ...
The Mother Of All Bubbles
Yes, yes, a fresh, young p***y popped the AI bubble. Nothing is new under the moon. Anyway, let’s see what we have at this auspicious moment. It is time to say farewell to the AI hype and the bubble caused by it (and yes, we will “say goodbye” many more times, for sure, because it won’t leave for good). The Fundamental Problem is still Out There and cannot (and won’t) be solved – the slop generator, however large, does not posses any “knowledge”, “understanding” or “reasoning” of any kind. ...
Where We Are So Far
So, this is what is actually going on (seen as they are) in plain English. The sheer brute-force of data-center-sized “frontier” models is so brute that it easily appears as “intelligence”. This is still the next-token prediction based on a conditional probability under the hood. There is no “understanding”, no “reasoning”, no “knowledge”, no “skills” (these are just the same streams of tokens). But this is not mere a “glorified autocomplete” anymore. There are compilers, code linters and even basic static analysis tools in the loop. ...
Why Are They Even Doing All This
I loooove the questions which starts with “whys”, and simply could not just pass by one. So, shit has already starting to hit the fan. https://terrytao.wordpress.com/2026/10/15/why-are-we-even-doing-all-this/ I have seen this before more than once – akshually, this is just another reccuring social pattern waithing to be properly generalized. Let me first show you where I have seen this pattern before. The classic and definitive example which I familiar with is the “transition” of Tantic schools of Tibetan “Buddhism” from deity worship and “magic” into doing “social work” – protecting the people by performing endless rituals to apeace and control various deities and for auspicious occasions, and thus maintaining the world peace and the “status quo”, and basically being almost “servants of the people” (despite tax collection and farmland ownership). ...
AI Bullshit At The UN General Assembly
Whatever bullshit Sam and especially Dario are spewing out at the UNGA, it is still a bullshit. What they actually have is a particular set of running algorithms, which, while mimicking just one aspect of how the brain works (in principle, not in the details), is, obviously, not enough to materialize the promises they gave away. First. they bet all these borrowed trillions on the assumption that “by scaling it” (more compute, more storage) and by wiring the slop generator blocks in series, similar to what complex EE systems are being composed, they will achieve so called AGI. ...
Monads, yes, again
People are saying avoid Monad “tutorials” [written by unqualified retards] , so writing down one is an IQ test and understanding is a “filter”. And, indeed, one has to know and understand some related concepts and become to a certain kind of mathematical thinking, otherwise one would apply bullshit imperative programming concepts instead of mathematical ones. The first concept is “composition of functions”, the famous \(\circ\) operator of the traditional mathematical notation. it takes two functions (of a single argument) and produces a new function (of a single argument, which is operationally defined is nesting of function calls. ...
Polite Bullshiting As A Soft Skill
Have you ever tried to write a so-called SKILL.md file for your LLM “agents”? So, how does it work for (You)? Does it follow your instructions? Really? Dow do (You) know? Have you verified the slop? For me, at least, it is just an utter bullshit. Recall that what these “skills” actually do is just that the contents of a SKILL.md file is being loaded into the “context window” of the inference engine. So that is just more verbiage in addition to your prompt. Idiots on the street nowadays are calling this process “harnessing” or something. ...
What A Fucking Shitshow
Have you seen the news? “The Danger of AI all humans”. “Clowns leave the AI labs because of the danger of AI destroying all humanity”, and the last invention “AI Models are deceptive and do not want to be human servants” or whatever fucking stupid bullshit it was. It is kind of amazing, how they paid large sums of money to such kind of literal clowns, who cannot even comprehend and posses a concept of a cognitive illusion or an appearance, which has been well-understood in the ancient India (Upanishads, early Theravada Buddhism). ...
The model
a half-dozen monkeys with typewriters would eventually write all the books in the British Museum. Imagine that a billion monkeys with keyboards can do (for this or that corporation, which buys all the available SSD storage supply). This, by the way, in itself if a bullshit abstract social construction, since the branching factor of a resulting dag (of potential sequences each monkey can produce) is probably larger than “number of atoms in the observable universe” (memes, memes everywhere). You also have to do git merge, which would be an intractable problem. ...
Archery
The skill beats luck - fortune favors the prepared. Shooting is to study one’s own mind (observation, introspection, self-awareness). through practice and experience (strictly by doing, not reading or watching). The ancient practice of knowing your self (as you really are, not as you think you are). The ancient exercise in self-discipline, introspection and self-knowing (know thyself). Each shot reveals what you [actually] are (to you). Each shot reveals you as a living Buddha or a tense fool. ...